Every year, when the Minister of Finance releases his Mid-Term Budget Statement, I do a post about South Africa’s tax statistics. It’s freshly-revised for all the new figures that came out yesterday.
So here goes.
Who pays the tax?
Here’s a chart of income tax payers:
Here’s that, split into some income ranges:
Here’s the total amount of income tax collected for each of those income ranges:
And here is the average income tax collected per person in each class:
What about the other revenue sources?
Here they are:
One of the criticisms that I often hear is that focusing on “income taxpayers” is distracting from all the other taxes. From where I sit: company tax and dividend withholding tax are taxes on shareholders – who already tend to be income taxpayers. And the VAT and excise duties tend to be split proportionally across incomes, so those are also weighted towards income taxpayers. For more on this: How South African Non-Income Taxes Are Paid.
And how is government planning to spend that money?
Well, it’s going to be doing some borrowing as well. But here’s the spending plan:
Closing Thought
On the basis of personal income tax, the top 1% or so (the 480,000 people earning more than R750,000 per year) pay 61% of the total income tax bill.
And I just want to point out that, by almost any standard, this is an extraordinary burden to lay on such a small portion of the population.
If we compare South Africa to the United States:
- Both countries pay taxes that equal about 25% of their annual GDP.
- But do you remember Mitt Romney and his “47% of Americans don’t pay any income taxes” comment that caused such an uproar?
- Compare that to our 87% who don’t pay income tax.
- And in 2010, the top 1% of taxpayers in the US contributed about 37% of the total income tax bill.
- Compare that to the 61% mentioned above.
Economic growth would help broaden that tax base.
But the current anaemic environment means a growing reliance on those 480,000 people.
Which is, you know, not good.
Rolling Alpha posts opinions on finance, economics, and sometimes things that are only loosely related. Follow me on Twitter @RollingAlpha, and on Facebook at www.facebook.com/rollingalpha. Also, check out the RA podcast on iTunes: The Story of Money.
Comments
Garron October 26, 2017 at 16:39
You may need to check your numbers. SARS advises 19.1 million individual tax payers. Closer to 30% of the population. 13% is the number of returns processed. Majority of people earning R250k or less do not have to submit returns.
Replyhttp://www.sars.gov.za/AllDocs/Documents/Tax%20Stats/Tax%20Stats%202016/Tax%20Stats%202016%20Highlights%20web.pdf
RA October 26, 2017 at 16:49
Hi Garron. You’re welcome to check my numbers – I’m relying on Table 4.5 of the MTBS. There are about 14 million registered individuals. Treasury expects about half of those to be below the income tax threshold, and not pay any income tax. The other half (about 7 million or so) will actually pay tax. I’m also looking at the 2017/2018 projections, not the 2015/2016 numbers.
ReplyGarron October 27, 2017 at 10:29
That’s my concern. Between 2016 and the 2017 projections we lose nearly 6 million registered tax payers somehow. Additionally StatsSA reports 9’617’000 jobs in the formal non-agricultural sector at a mean monthly salary of R19’170 end June 2017, a decline from the previous quarter. I’m having a look at the full MTBPS document and chapter 4 deals with Expenditure Priorities, and Table 4.5 has the heading ‘Changes to division of revenue’ which relates to government grants. Please can you elaborate.
Replyhttp://www.statssa.gov.za/?p=10530
RA October 27, 2017 at 15:44
Okay, so you have to go into the “Budget and Time Series Data” folder that sits just below the top set of Excel docs. And then it’s the chapter 4 detail that’s in there. Sorry – I don’t control the way that the folks at Treasury arrange their data!
ReplyGarron October 30, 2017 at 09:53
Well. It’s there in black and white. But something doesn’t gel between the Treasury numbers, Stats SA and SARS. Guess we will have to wait for the 2017 SARS stats.
Reply